| Up but not attractive |
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| Written by Gary B. Smith |
| Monday, 14 June 2010 06:26 |
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I'll hand it to the market: last week it both moved up AND broke resistance. That's normally a time to celebrate, right? In this case, not quite. If you take a close look at the breakout, it came on shrinking volume. That I can probably live with. More concerning was the trajectory of the breakout. Instead of coming right after a pause or some congestion, it was a move that went nearly vertical, rising 4% in 4 days. For an index like the S&P, that's a pretty sharp move in a short amount of time, putting it squarely in the overbought camp. I don't like overbought markets, as they tend to eventually crush the longs. So right now, be careful.
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